Tag Archive for 'isa'

A Testimonial to be Proud of

No-one likes to lose business but,sometimes, there can be compensations. How about this for a heart warming letter from a member of ShareHunter who has other priorities for his trading capital….

I just wanted to let you know that, sadly, I shall be leaving the Sharehunter service from end Feb.

But I wanted to say that this is absolutely not a reflection on the standard or quality of service I have received from yourself and your team. You offer a brilliant, very professional and competitively priced service and I am sad to leave.

Over only three months my account has grown…..and this in a very uncertain market. At one point my account value even topped 10% growth (11K) which was astounding!

Our thanks go to ‘Mr. A.J.for making us feel good even though we are losing him as a member.

A 150% Increase – with More to Come

We all know that past performance is not necessarily a good guide to future performance particularly when dealing in stocks and shares and also when 2011 may be a darn site trickier than 2010 was for trading shares and for holding a portfolio of shares.

The ShareHunter ‘Trader’ performance is a direct result of the investment strategy that we provide for all subscribers; the strategy itself is the culmination of many years of trading experience – and it works, allowing profits to roll , capital to be largely protected and to avoid the big losers.

Starting from the 1st July 2009 the illustrative track record of all of the ‘Trader’ trades, called in FTSE 350 stocks and based on the ShareHunter trading Strategy, is today showing a remarkable 150% increase in capital (gross, excluding trading costs) – and, despite today’s disappointing fall in the FTSE (down 71 points), this total will increase further as 15 out of the current 18 open trades have stops that are at or above the entry price.

No surprise perhaps that our chief analyst, Alan Saunders, was voted Runner-up Research Analysts of the Year in the Daily Telegraph Wealth Awards 2010!

You should not make any decision based solely on past performance, share prices go down as well as up. But the fact that there are tough times ahead is the very reason why, we suggest, that you should consider using the ShareHunter service. Not only might it help you to make good money in the coming months (and have some fun doing it) but also it should help you avoid the pitfalls and problems commonly experienced by many, if not most, investors and to protect the majority of your capital. Our subscribers did not get caught out when Royal Bank of Scotland fell by over 90% – nor in any of the other frights of the last few years and neither will they, or you if you are with us, get caught by similar tales of woe in 2011/12.

The ShareHunter ‘Trader’ service only requires your attention for about 5 minutes around 8.30 am. (to check and change Stop price orders) and about 15 minutes around 11.00am (to consider and decide upon the trades suggested that day). It is suitable for both Spread Betting and for CFD accounts.

2011 could be a year in which many people will lose a lot of money on the stock market. Please don’t be one of them. Joining ShareHunter could be the way to both profit and protect.

With good wishes for the coming year,

Alan

@ShareHunter

The FTSE to hit 6000?

In our blog dated 12 August 2010, under the same heading, we questioned the motives of Mr. Keith Skeoch – the CEO of Standard Life – when he forecast that the FTSE 100 index would hit the ‘6000 barrier’ by the 31st of December. We wrote then that he attributed no reason why it should and we added that we would congratulate him if it did.

Well, our congratulations to Mr. Skeoch are happily and freely given. Well done, sir, you got it exactly right.

It wasn’t until a few weeks later that we were able to confirm that the technical signals that we could see for the FTSE meant that higher share prices were likely to follow. This enabled us to build a good series of trades in FTSE 350 shares that has resulted in an excellent and profitable end to 2010.

The FTSE to Rise or to Fall?

It is all very much ‘in the balance’.We use 9 separate trend indicators to establish the dominant trend of any index (or individual share). Currently only 2 indicators are showing as positive with 1 showing negative and 6 as neutral.

So the FTSE has no definitive trend and it could develop either way (as can readily be seen by even just a cursory glance at the chart below) -

Or, of course, the FTSE could continue to meander along sideways for weeks to come. We doubt that though. The length of the current sideways move is now about 12 months and this is the extreme of any previous sideways move looking back over the last decade. We continue to expect the FTSE to make a definitive move within the next few weeks.

So the message remains ‘go careful and stay watchful’ so that you get into the trend when it starts and, more importantly, so that you don’t get wrong footed and get caught by an adverse move. Patience is the watchword.

The FTSE ‘Dam’ is due to Burst Soon

The rise in the FTSE last week has taken the index to the same level that it was at 10 months ago. Nothing exceptional about that, you may say. But the point is that this is getting towards the end of the historical maximum period before the market ‘blows off’ – one way or the other.

Looking back over the last 9 years of the FTSE 100 index you can see from the chart below (click on it to enlarge it) that each time there has been a lengthy sideways period (of Consolidation or Distribution) it has been followed by a significant move -

It is during such follow-up moves, up or down, that significant profits can be made.

The current period is further enhanced by the extra compression that comes from the coming together of the two moving averages. These two are good trend identifiers but, when ‘mixing’ together they indicate a building compression which will, eventually, be released by a strong move. And, after 10 months of sidling along, such a move is due soon.

All of this tends to support our view that this Autumn will see the FTSE move decisively.

We are ready for it. Are you?

Is the FTSE heading to 6000?

The FTSE 100’s 226 point rise last week was a show of strength and we continue to be impressed by the support provided by the 5010-5350 block area which has, over the last year, prevented the index from plummeting.

This area of 5010 to 5350 remains key to the FTSE’s future. If the index can stay, above 5350 then the rally will continue and the trend should change to an uptrend with 6000 then becoming a real possibility.

A large and decisive move is likely to get underweigh this Autumn and, on our current analysis of the technical signals and despite the positive signals of last week’s rise, that move is likely to be down; and sharply down at that. Probably to 4800 and then lower. At best we would put the current ‘odds’ at 60:40 on a down move.

Reasons why and the detailed forecast for the FTSE’s next move are given in our latest ‘FTSE Forecast’ which is available on request to Admin@ShareHunter.com

Investment Risk and the Stock Market

One of our members has, very sensibly, enquired as to the ’safety’ of our ‘Stop-Loss’ protection system.  Our answer includes the following comments:

One of the reasons why we restrict ourselves to the FTSE 350 stocks and currently, in this volatile market period, eschew Small Cap and AIM stocks is that it is very rare for any such large and liquid shares to suffer the sort of calamitous collapse of up to 50% overnight. That, of course, doesn’t mean that it is impossible but it is very unlikely.

It is possible for a gapped open to exceed our stop-loss price and it happens perhaps 1% to 2% of the time. As we use, and recommend, the tight money management rule of 1.5% of capital the resulting loss of, say, 2% or even 3% is far from calamitous and is recoverable.

Having said that, one should bear in mind that investing/trading on the stock market is a ‘risk’ business. The unforeseen, the exceptional, the ‘one off’ event is an ever present, if relatively low, risk. If one is not prepared to accept that risk then one should not be investing into shares of any nature or size.

Some of us suffered badly in the 1987 stock market crash when share prices tumbled by some 25% over two days (and the stock brokers took their phones off the hook so none of us could trade!!) but it is a different world now but I, for one, would not say that it could never happen again!

Controlling the risk, watching and managing each holding and minimising losses is the secret to making money on the stock market.

Is the FTSE 100 Going Up or Down?

With the establishment of the Downtrend (which is now ‘in play’ for this index) there will always be occasional rallies but these are likely to be only temporary (generally 3 to 5 weeks); the index is currently suggesting that it is likely to return to the 4800 level area (the level of the July low) and then go lower to the 4630 level and, possibly, to 3500 before any serious support might be forthcoming.

There is now a 60% chance of the index falling to the 4630 area against a 40% chance of a rally to the 6000 area.

For more detail request a copy of ShareHunter’s latest  ‘FTSE Forecast’ report.

Has The FTSE Bottomed Out?

Our latest analysis of the FTSE shows that this rally may continue for a while but that the FTSE has NOT bottomed out. There is a lot of risk buying into this market at the present time. Ask for a copy of the latest analysis of the FTSE’s direction

Double Dip Recession

According to press comments over the last two days there is now a 60% to 80% chance of a double dip recession occuring. That means that it is likely that all that has been suffered by individuals, businesses and the economy as a whole over the last two years is going to be suffered all over again (for another two years??).

The Stock Market took a hammering in 2007 and 2008 so does this mean that it is going to take another hammerin in 2010 and 2011? The picture painted by our analysis suggests that it will. Over the past weeks and months we have been drawing attention to the increasing probability of an eventual break of the FTSE 100 index below the 5000-5100 area of support and to the likely result of that break being an eventual collapse down to the 3500 area.

Yesterday’s fall to the close at 4914 suggests that the collapse has, indeed, started. However, there are trwo important points to consider: Firstly, thsi may be nothing more than an isolated scare and the FTSE may bounce back and leave many ‘bears’ with red faces and nursing some trading losses. In other words, just as one swallow doesn’t make it summer so one day’s nasty move doesn’t make for a general collapse. But secondly, and more likely, if the FTSE closes below 5000 at the end of the week, on Friday, then this is a strong signal of worse to come – but it may not happen quickly and it may be early autumn before the more general and steep collapse occurs.

The dotted red arrows show the potential collapse -

A subscription oue weekly  ‘The FTSE FORECAST’ report will keep you abreast of all the changes and likely future direction of the FTSE and other World Stock Markets.  For details Copy this address and post it into your browser – https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=8NCBVH3W6UPCE