Tag Archive for 'FTSE100'

The Wide Boys are out in force..

The Stock Market is a tough place to be right now  - with the UK’s, if not the World’s, economy in the worst condition seen in our lifetime.

And out from the woodwork, almost daily, come the wide-boy and hucksters’ emails offering to sell us their latest “secret” formula for instant success and riches on the stock market!

But the real “secret” of successful stock market investment is to understand that there is no secret –

You simply need the right tools and the right approach.

And these are available from ShareHunter.com

ShareHunter is not new; nor are we wide-boys or hucksters. Our service is genuine and successful – and has been so for the last 10 years.

Our award-winning technical research will not produce instant riches but it will guide you towards making the right investment decisions and help you to protect yourself from the “RBS syndrome” (i.e the 90% losers club).

With ShareHunter you get –

ü  Detailed trading and money management strategies

ü  Top share picks (liquid stocks – no 1p shares)

ü  Daily trailing Stops updates

ü  The chance to follow the professional (big) money investors

ü  A weekly review of where the FTSE is heading

And all for a peppercorn monthly subscription

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our ‘FTSE Forecast’ Reports every week for the next 6 months, completely free of charge.

We cannot make you instant riches but we can help to put you on the path towards a careful and steady accumulation of wealth, without gimmicks or smoke and mirrors and without big up-front or back-end fees.

Come, Join Us, at ShareHunter….NOW, before the next big move on the stock market, and let’s make money together …. www.sharehunter.com

This is Where the FTSE is Heading…

The FTSE straddled the 5440 support level last week and closed below it. If it stays below it next week then it is on its way down towards the 5000 area again.

(Click on chart to enlarge)

The levels to watch for on the FTSE 100 area -

1. 5760 – if the FTSE closes above this level then continuation of the rally is confirmed and will likely take the index up to the 6090 level area or

2.5440 – if the index closes below this then the Downtrend continues and will likely drag it down towards the 5000 level area (and then lower).

The wider UK market, as evidenced by the FTSE 250 index is still showing a whole lot weaker than the FTSE 100 and is much further away from confirming any continuation of its, so far, short and half hearted rally -

The FTSE 250 -

The levels to watch for on the FTSE 250 are -

1. 10710 – if it closes above 10710 AND above the level of its 30 wk MA then it will rally up to the 11360 area or

2.9420 – a close below 9420 will see the index at 8850 very quickly thereafter.

When you recall the 3500 level that the FTSE 100 reached in 2002/3 and 2009 (Lehman!) one has to wonder why it is still some 1800 points higher today despite all of the doom and gloom of dire consequences being peddled so vociferously over recent weeks.

One can only assume that the markets must be supremely confident that the politicians will devise a satisfactory answer (and, in which case, we are running the risk of being too aggressively short).

But, against that, we need to highlight the potential effect on the market, and to the FTSE 100 in particular, if the politicos  do not get it right; that is represented by the potential for the S&P to crash to 750 and the DJIA to 7000 and for the FTSE to crash to the 3500 area (in which case we might not be short enough!) – as illustrated by the monthly price chart -

The FTSE 100 (monthly) -

Every day last week was a down day. This indicates that the market is getting weaker and makes the idea of a recovery rally that little bit more difficult. However, we must not underestimate the potential for an engineered year-end rally on the markets.

ShareHunter – Winning With REALLY Successful Stock Market Analysis

We have been looking back over the last 9 months issues of our ‘FTSE Forecast’ Reports and feel very proud of the way in which we have accurately forecast what would happen to the FTSE.

It is this sort of practical and straight forward analysis that has helped us and the ShareHunter subscribers not just to position themselves correctly and to make money by trading with the dominant trend but also, and so importantly, to avoid losing large chunks of their investment capital by avoiding the sudden downturns in share prices.

Here, by way of example, area  few extracts from The ‘FTSE Forecast’ during 2011 so far -

1. 31st Jan  – “…if the 5770 level holds then the FTSE will rise to 6055 again but if it fails then the FTSE will fall to 5000…”

2. 13th Feb – “…Our special ‘Momentum Indicator’ is continuing to point towards a coming sharp fall on the markets…”

3. 13th Mar – “…The signals presented bu our ‘Momentum Indicator’ show a disturbing divergence for the FTSE (even more pronounced for the S&P 500); something just isn’t right and we all need to be watchful (for a crash)!…”

4. 25th Apr – “…A triple Top is forming – this could lead to a sharp downturn in the FTSE….”

5. 2nd May – “…The FTSE is at an important ‘Either/Or’ juncture – Either it is going to break upwards OR it is going to crash…”

6. 5th Jun – “…The FTSE is finely balanced and could soon start an extensive decline…”

7. 19th Jul – “…Do not be tempted to buy shares now. A Painful time is now due to follow. A fall is approaching and it could be fast and furious….”

8. 15th Aug – “…The markets are building towards a decisive downmove…”

9. 4th Sep – “…Share prices are likely to fall again – and will take the FTSE down to the 4782 area…” (NB. the FTSE fell to 4791 on the 8th Sept!!!)

And, for Autumn/Winter 2011 – “…The FTSE will fall again to the 4782 area and then likely crash as far as the 3500 level”

ShareHunter’s ‘Trend Analysis’ is unique and our forecasts have a high degree of accuracy allowing our subscribers to enjoy successful investment opportunities – in falling as well as rising markets.

Join us!

The Stock Market Turmoil – All our Subscribers Were Warned Well in Advance

Even by current volatility standards today (Thursday 22 Sept) was some day!

But we anticipate (expect!) that not one of ShareHunter’s subscribers  (well, those of you who read the ‘FTSE Forecast’ each week anyway) got caught holding Long trades in such a dire crash.

We have been consistent over many months now in identifying the dominant trend of the markets and of the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 in particular and warning of the likely falls to follow as the trend strengthened and we have been consistently accurate with our forecasts of the levels that the FTSE is likely to reach.

We would, of course, deny that this is a “We told you so” blog …(but you ‘re right. It is).

Today the FTSE has reached the 5000 level that we mentioned in Sunday’s ‘FTSE Forecast’ report – but it hasn’t closed below it, yet! Should it do so then it will certainly fall to test the 4782 level and, should it then close below 4782 (for two consecutive days) then its next major low is likely to be the in the area of 3500!

So, it could be a case of…”a 5% in-a-day crash to 5000?…you ain’t seen nothing yet”!! We wouldn’t mind being wrong but the analysis shows that if 4782 fails as a support level then that is what is going to happen.

We are all due for some exciting times in the coming weeks. And, one day there is, of course, going to be a turning point when an investment into shares is going to create huge wealth over the longer term.

It would pay you to get the support of ShareHunter’s consistently accurate analysis as your guide. Visit www.sharehunter.com and subscribe for just about the best  stock market and share analysis that there is.

How Low Can the FTSE Go?

Again this weekend, in our ‘FTSE Forecast’ weekly report we cautioned that the FTSE was likely to fall further this week – and Monday proved us right. But how low could the FTSE go? Has it bottomed out already? Or is there more downside to come?

Here is the chart of the FTSE 100 using weekly prices (which is the only way to properly determine the dominant trend of the market) -

The FTSE 100 is likely to fall back down again to the 4782 level where it will hope to find buyers jumping in so allowing it to rally back up the scale. But, if it fails to find sufficient support and falls, and closes, below 4782 then it will be destined to go quite a lot lower; as we have indicated in previous reports, probably down to the 3475 level area.

Analysis of the wider market doesn’t show any greater degree of support for a meaningful rally. The FTSE 250 looks likely to drift down towards a test for support at the 8850 level area -

It could prove to be a costly mistake to be buying into this market (other than on a very short term basis).  Support from across the Atlantic looks very unlikely and the FTSE is in a Downtrend as its dominant trend and, whilst that remains in force, lower share prices are likely.

Beware The Siren Calls

Increasingly we are reading ‘informed comment’ in the press that tells us that  – “ looking to the long term equities now offer fantastic value” To which our response, just now, has to be …”Oh Yeah – by what yardstick is “fantastic value” being measured?”.

Looking at the long term chart, the answer has to be – against the 3500 level lows put in by the FTSE from 1995. But that is a very short lived, if not illusory yardstick.  If you had bought at point “X” for the longer term then, at point “Y” you might have been happy, but at point “Z” it was all a waste of time -

(click on the chart to enlarge it)

“Buying for the longer term” is a ‘buy and hold’ philosophy which, in the modern market era, can be seen to be a high risk strategy. Why buy now when there could soon be a chance that you might be able to buy at point “EQ” – and then we will tell you when another point “A” looks likely.

Now, that is a strategy for the “longer term”!

Free Advice for Lord Sugar (who bought bank shares last week!)

Sir, ‘Bottom trawling’ is for losers. Far better not to guess that the bottom has been reached and to wait for the market to turn and change its dominant trend before trying to assess ‘good’ value.

Buying because a share looks cheap can be very costly – as you have just discovered.

ShareHunter subscribers knew not to buy last week  (they also knew weeks ago that the crash was coming and they knew when to go short of shares to make some fat profits rather than looking to buy cheap).

There will come a point when shares represent a fantastic ‘buy’ opportunity but that is not yet and will only be after the bottom has been formed and confirmed. That way you will make money from your share purchases, sir.

The FTSE Will Fall Again

Late last week buyers obviously reckoned that they could see a good buying opportunity as they returned to the market in force. The result was that the FTSE 100 closed at the top of its range for the week.

The low for the week was right on the support level that we had identified for members a week earlier!

The FTSE is now in something of a state of limbo. There is the possibility that it might claw its way back up to the 5670 area and even, possibly, to the 5750 area as it is a fact that there is always a positive period that follows such a steep collapse as the FTSE has suffered over the past two weeks.

This ‘limbo’ period is a dangerous time as a sense of ‘recovery’ can fill the air and buyers begin to lose their caution and start doubling up on their earlier purchases so as not to miss out on the expected recovery (the earlier concerns about the state of the market being explained away as “over reaction”).

But, beware, because it is a fact that, until it changes, the market is still in the early phase of a stage 4 Downtrend which, by its very nature, will follow through with more declines in share values after the bounce. It has happened before -

Click on the cart to enlarge it

It is likely that the FTSE 100 will fall to test the strength of the support at the 4782 level again at some point. If it should close below that level then we can expect more falls and, perhaps, a decline all the way down to the 3475 level again.

So, enjoy and benefit from any sustained bounce that the FTSE may provide over the coming weeks but remember it is in a Downtrend as its dominant trend and that it will, therefore, fall back again.

ShareHunter Subscribers Make Big Profits From the Market Crash

For months ShareHunter subscribers were kept well aware of the oncoming market express that was going to cause a collapse in share prices. Then they were told on the very day that it started to go short of stocks (and we showed them which stocks to sell). Then, on Sunday 7th August they were shown that the FTSE was likely to bottom out at the 4782 area – on Tuesday 9th August it bottomed out at 4791!!

All subscribers know what is likely to happen next and where the FTSE is heading and when it will collapse again.

So, IF YOU WANT  -

1.  TO STAY AHEAD OF THE PACK

2. TO KNOW WHEN TO BUY AND WHEN TO GO SHORT

3. TO MAKE SERIOUS PROFITS FROM SHARE TRADING

Then join ShareHunter now and enjoy and profit from the Stock Market’ Ups and Downs

The FTSE 100 is Going to Crash…but When ??

The following is an extract from the ShareHunter ‘FTSE Forecast’ report this weekend -

Of the 8 trend indicators that we use to identify current and likely direction there is only 1 showing as positive for the FTSE 100 index, with 3 showing as neutral and 4 showing as negative. This means that the bias is well in favour of a decline to follow.

If this downward bias continues as, frankly, we expect it to, then we need to consider the probable effect on share prices. To do this we need to look back. The chart below shows the full 27 year history of the FTSE 100 index -

FTSE 100 – Monthly price chart:

(Click on the chart to enlarge it)

Two aspects are immediately obvious, firstly how the FTSE vibrates to the “8ths” rhythmic scale and, secondly, how it strives to test previous highs and lows.

So, now we have the question of whether or not the FTSE will finish its 2009 – to date attempt to test the previous highs by adding that extra +25% to the +75% already achieved since March 2009. The answer to that is easy – if the index can close above 6090 for two consecutive weeks then it will almost certainly end up at the 6900 area.

But, that scenario is looking increasingly unlikely. Not only is the FTSE displaying signals of weakness but it has also spent the last 7+ months going sideways. So how will we know if it is going to fall further – indeed, how will we know if it is going to crash?

Again, the answer is relatively easy – two possible events will tell us (and will get us shorting stocks): Firstly, the neckline underneath the lows will be broken to the downside. Note how this has occurred on each of the previous two occasions of a FTSE major collapse -

Secondly, and by way of confirmation that the dominant trend has changed to the Downtrend (so none of us should be buying stocks – just shorting them), there must be a crossover of the 13 and 34 week exponential MAs -

Until these two events occur the FTSE is likely to continue with its sideways movement but as soon as they have occurred we can expect the FTSE to fall, and probably to fall quite heavily. It is likely to crash by 25% or so from the 6090 level and could, as a worst case scenario fall all the way back down to test the lows at the 3475 level again!

When you look back to the FTSE monthly prices chart above you can see that this is a perfectly possible outcome. But when is it likely to happen?…

For a copy of the full report and to receive future weekly reports please go to -

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