Tag Archive for 'FTSE index'

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UK Small Cap Shares – Best to wait before buying

Published on November 21, 2011 in Education and Market Reviews. 0 Comments Tags: bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, CFD, CFDs, FTSE, FTSE index, Lloyds, Market bottom, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, share prices, share tips, Shares to buy, sipp, SIPPS, Small Cap shares, spread betting, stock market collapse, stock market recovery, stock market sectors, stock market trend, stock prices, UK Banks.

We have seen some press comment and the occasional article suggesting that now may be a good time to be snapping up small cap stocks. Well, it may be – but at risk of losing a shirt or two if it all goes pear shaped, as it might. The FTSE Small Cap index is in a Downtrend as its dominant trend (which, of itself, portends lower prices to follow) -

(Click on chart to enlarge)

The important support level at 1910 has failed and the index is now below it which is a signal of weakness but it is about to test for support at the 2700 area (the level of the Dec’09 and Feb’10 lows) and it is important that that area holds by providing support. If it doesn’t then there is potential for the index to fall towards the 2050 level before sufficient support may be found – and, if that were to happen, some large losses would be incurred.

Best stay out of this market until the picture of a final low is clearer.

ShareHunter – Winning With REALLY Successful Stock Market Analysis

Published on September 30, 2011 in Education, Market Reviews and ShareHunter News. 0 Comments Tags: bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, Bull market, CFD, CFDs, crash, FTSE, FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, FTSE index, FTSE Sectors, FTSE100, Lloyds, market analysis, Market bottom, market rally, market trend, momentum, Moving Average, rally, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, S&P 500, share prices, share tips, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market collapse, stock market crash, stock market recovery, stock prices, technical analysis, trading in stocks, UK Banks, Wall Street.

We have been looking back over the last 9 months issues of our ‘FTSE Forecast’ Reports and feel very proud of the way in which we have accurately forecast what would happen to the FTSE.

It is this sort of practical and straight forward analysis that has helped us and the ShareHunter subscribers not just to position themselves correctly and to make money by trading with the dominant trend but also, and so importantly, to avoid losing large chunks of their investment capital by avoiding the sudden downturns in share prices.

Here, by way of example, area few extracts from The ‘FTSE Forecast’ during 2011 so far -

1. 31st Jan – “…if the 5770 level holds then the FTSE will rise to 6055 again but if it fails then the FTSE will fall to 5000…”

2. 13th Feb – “…Our special ‘Momentum Indicator’ is continuing to point towards a coming sharp fall on the markets…”

3. 13th Mar – “…The signals presented bu our ‘Momentum Indicator’ show a disturbing divergence for the FTSE (even more pronounced for the S&P 500); something just isn’t right and we all need to be watchful (for a crash)!…”

4. 25th Apr – “…A triple Top is forming – this could lead to a sharp downturn in the FTSE….”

5. 2nd May – “…The FTSE is at an important ‘Either/Or’ juncture – Either it is going to break upwards OR it is going to crash…”

6. 5th Jun – “…The FTSE is finely balanced and could soon start an extensive decline…”

7. 19th Jul – “…Do not be tempted to buy shares now. A Painful time is now due to follow. A fall is approaching and it could be fast and furious….”

8. 15th Aug – “…The markets are building towards a decisive downmove…”

9. 4th Sep – “…Share prices are likely to fall again – and will take the FTSE down to the 4782 area…” (NB. the FTSE fell to 4791 on the 8th Sept!!!)

And, for Autumn/Winter 2011 – “…The FTSE will fall again to the 4782 area and then likely crash as far as the 3500 level”

ShareHunter’s ‘Trend Analysis’ is unique and our forecasts have a high degree of accuracy allowing our subscribers to enjoy successful investment opportunities – in falling as well as rising markets.

Join us!

The ‘FTSE Forecast’ – Accurately Points the Way for Investors and Traders

Published on August 15, 2011 in Education and ShareHunter News. 0 Comments Tags: 6000, bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, Bull market, CFD, CFDs, crash, Footsie, FTSE, FTSE 100, FTSE 350, FTSE index, FTSE Sectors, Lloyds, Market bottom, market rally, market trend, momentum, Moving Average, rally, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, S&P 500, share prices, share tips, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market, stock market collapse, stock market crash, Stock Market indices, stock market recovery, stock market sectors, stock market trend, stock prices, trading in stocks, UK Banks, Wall Street.

Over recent months the FTSE Forecast has continued to provide accurate information on the direction of the stock markets.

It has, for example, not only warned subscribers of the impending stock market crash many weeks before it occurred but also it gave the warning on the first day of the crash that further were falls due.

We also highlighted the exact level at which the FTSE would stop falling and turn around.

It just doesn’t get better than that!

ShareHunter Subscribers Make Big Profits From the Market Crash

Published on August 10, 2011 in Education and ShareHunter News. 0 Comments Tags: bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, Bull market, CFD, CFDs, crash, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, FTSE index, FTSE100, going short, Lloyds, market rally, momentum, Moving Average, rally, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, S&P 500, share prices, share tips, short, shorting shares, shorting stocks, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market collapse, stock market crash, stock market recovery, UK Banks, Wall Street.

For months ShareHunter subscribers were kept well aware of the oncoming market express that was going to cause a collapse in share prices. Then they were told on the very day that it started to go short of stocks (and we showed them which stocks to sell). Then, on Sunday 7th August they were shown that the FTSE was likely to bottom out at the 4782 area – on Tuesday 9th August it bottomed out at 4791!!

All subscribers know what is likely to happen next and where the FTSE is heading and when it will collapse again.

So, IF YOU WANT -

1. TO STAY AHEAD OF THE PACK

2. TO KNOW WHEN TO BUY AND WHEN TO GO SHORT

3. TO MAKE SERIOUS PROFITS FROM SHARE TRADING

Then join ShareHunter now and enjoy and profit from the Stock Market’ Ups and Downs

A Bottom on the FTSE Today – temporarily at least

Published on August 9, 2011 in Education, Market Reviews and ShareHunter News. 0 Comments Tags: bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, CFD, CFDs, crash, FTSE, FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, FTSE index, FTSE Sectors, Lloyds, Market bottom, Market low, market rally, market trend, momentum, Moving Average, rally, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, S&P 500, share prices, share tips, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market crash, stock market recovery, stock market trend, trading in stocks, UK Banks, Wall Street.

In our last ‘FTSE Forecast Report (available on request to admin@sharehunter.com) we showed the likely bottom on the FTSE 100 as at 4782 from which area a bounce back is likely. Here is the long term chart -

The FTSE 100 has made a low today at 4791 – close enough!! A rally should soon commence.

At this stage of the cycle we cannot be sure if 4791 will prove to be the final bottom – but we doubt that it will be. There may be a good pull back to the level of the neckline (the dotted line) before the Downtrend recommences.

In our weekly ‘FTSE Forecast’ reports we have been warning, for weeks now, that this big crash was coming so good profits have been made from shorting stocks during the last week and more profits will be made as the market rallies and then , probably, crashes back again!

The FTSE 100 is Going to Crash…but When ??

Published on July 18, 2011 in Education, Market Reviews and ShareHunter News. 0 Comments Tags: bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, CFD, CFDs, crash, Footsie, FTSE, FTSE 250, FTSE index, FTSE100, how to tell if the stock market is going to crash, Lloyds, market rally, market trend, Moving Average, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, share prices, share tips, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market, stock market collapse, stock market crash, UK Banks.

The following is an extract from the ShareHunter ‘FTSE Forecast’ report this weekend -

Of the 8 trend indicators that we use to identify current and likely direction there is only 1 showing as positive for the FTSE 100 index, with 3 showing as neutral and 4 showing as negative. This means that the bias is well in favour of a decline to follow.

If this downward bias continues as, frankly, we expect it to, then we need to consider the probable effect on share prices. To do this we need to look back. The chart below shows the full 27 year history of the FTSE 100 index -

FTSE 100 – Monthly price chart:

(Click on the chart to enlarge it)

Two aspects are immediately obvious, firstly how the FTSE vibrates to the “8ths” rhythmic scale and, secondly, how it strives to test previous highs and lows.

So, now we have the question of whether or not the FTSE will finish its 2009 – to date attempt to test the previous highs by adding that extra +25% to the +75% already achieved since March 2009. The answer to that is easy – if the index can close above 6090 for two consecutive weeks then it will almost certainly end up at the 6900 area.

But, that scenario is looking increasingly unlikely. Not only is the FTSE displaying signals of weakness but it has also spent the last 7+ months going sideways. So how will we know if it is going to fall further – indeed, how will we know if it is going to crash?

Again, the answer is relatively easy – two possible events will tell us (and will get us shorting stocks): Firstly, the neckline underneath the lows will be broken to the downside. Note how this has occurred on each of the previous two occasions of a FTSE major collapse -

Secondly, and by way of confirmation that the dominant trend has changed to the Downtrend (so none of us should be buying stocks – just shorting them), there must be a crossover of the 13 and 34 week exponential MAs -

Until these two events occur the FTSE is likely to continue with its sideways movement but as soon as they have occurred we can expect the FTSE to fall, and probably to fall quite heavily. It is likely to crash by 25% or so from the 6090 level and could, as a worst case scenario fall all the way back down to test the lows at the 3475 level again!

When you look back to the FTSE monthly prices chart above you can see that this is a perfectly possible outcome. But when is it likely to happen?…

For a copy of the full report and to receive future weekly reports please go to -

https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=8NCBVH3W6UPCE

The ShareHunter Analysis Saw the Risk of a Big FTSE Fall

Published on July 12, 2011 in Education, Market Reviews and ShareHunter News. 0 Comments Tags: bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, Bull market, CFD, CFDs, crash, FTSE, FTSE index, FTSE100, Lloyds, Market bottom, market rally, market trend, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, S&P 500, share prices, share tips, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market, stock market collapse, stock market crash, stock market recovery, UK Banks, Wall Street.

The opening two paragraphs of this weekend’s ‘FTSE Forecast’ Report, sent to all ShareHunter subscribers, warned of the danger of a big fall.

The ‘FTSE Forecast’ Report is summarised below – But don’t you think that it would be a good idea to keep yourself properly informed on where the FTSE is heading? You can subscribe for the weekly ‘FTSE Forecast’ and do just that. It is only £12 a month or, of course, you can subscribe for the full ShareHunter Alerts service and get up-to-the-minute top UK and US share tips plus daily stop-loss and profit-protection service. And the ‘FTSE Forecast’ then comes free.

You can join for the full service now by going to our Home page or you can just subscribe for the ‘FTSE Forecast’ by using this link -

https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=8NCBVH3W6UPCE

The ‘ FTSE Forecast’ Report on 10th July 2011 (extracts) -

The strength that the FTSE 100 showed the week before last ebbed away last week and left the FTSE 100 index with a ‘Gravestone Doji’ candlestick. This is normally interpreted as a bearish signal indicating a top reversal and, as the high of the week reached the heavy resistance area at 6055/6090, the creation of a new top has to be considered as a serious possibility.

It could also have serious consequences because, if a top does form, it would be the 4^th top and the resulting fall could, therefore, approach being fast and furious -

FTSE 100 Weekly price chart -

Unfortunately, the FTSE 250 is not in a position to help clarify the situation. As expected, it has risen to test the strength of the resistance created by its May 2007 all-time-high value at 12236. From there last week it fell back to create a ‘shooting star’ candlestick pattern which is also normally interpreted as a bearish signal. But, again, conformation from the following (i.e. next) week is required for accurate interpretation

FTSE 250 weekly price chart -

There is not much help, strength or support coming from Wall Street either. The S&P 500 is finding the grip of the 1334/1350 resistance area too strong to escape from and, last week, it too gave a signal indicating the frustration and indecision existing in the market -

S&P 500 weekly price chart -

And, frankly, it is not really worth looking elsewhere in the World for opportunity just now. Much is written about the potential offered by the likes of Japan and, particularly, the emerging economies of China and India. Well, their major market indices are not looking very bright at all and, currently, do not even offer anything like the same degree of short term growth potential that is/might be available from the FTSE and S&P if those two indices manage an upwards breakout from the overhead resistance areas -………continued

When Will the Stock Market Correction End?

Published on June 13, 2011 in Education and Market Reviews. 0 Comments Tags: 6000, bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, Bull market, CFD, CFDs, correction, crash, Footsie, FTSE, FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, FTSE index, FTSE Sectors, Lloyds, Market bottom, market rally, market trend, momentum, Moving Average, rally, rally in share prices, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, S&P 500, share prices, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market, stock market collapse, stock market crash, Stock Market indices, stock market recovery, stock prices, trading in stocks, UK Banks, Wall Street.

Soon is the quick answer.

A full, free, technical analysis report giving support levels etc. is available on request to admin@sharehunter.com

This Stock Market correction will lead to a significant rally but there may be more falls to come first so don’t be in a hurry to start buying – but be ready because there are going to be some bargains to be had and some fast profits to be made.

There is Support for the FTSE 100 at 5770 So a Rally is Due Soon…

Published on June 13, 2011 in Education and Market Reviews. 0 Comments Tags: 6000, bank shares, Banks, Barclays, Bear market, BP, Bull market, CFD, CFDs, crash, DJIA, Dow Jones, Dow Jones index, dow jones industrial average, Footsie, FTSE, FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, FTSE index, FTSE Sectors, Lloyds, Market bottom, market rally, market trend, momentum, Moving Average, rally, RBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, S&P 500, share prices, share tips, sipp, SIPPS, spread betting, stock market, stock market collapse, stock market crash, Stock Market indices, trading in stocks, UK Banks, Wall Street.

The FTSE 100 is sitting above potential support in the form of the 5770 level and the 5720 level – being the ‘standard’ support of the -6.25% from the recent run of highs at the 6100 area; there is also the 5594 level a bit lower which should provide support if needed as it is a standard support level of -8.33% from the highs which has already provided support once, back in March -

(click on chart to enlarge it)

The FTSE 100 is at a point of decision. It is swinging into a ‘Stage 3’ Topping Trend as the 2010 (‘Stage 2’) Uptrend has lost its momentum.

Although a ‘Stage 3’ trend is usually followed by a ‘Stage 4’ Downtrend it is not always the case and it can be that the index will yet break out to the upside again beginning another ‘Stage 2’ up leg. There is still time for it to do this before a proper ‘Stage 4’ Downtrend appears.

The current ‘Stage 3’ trend is shown on the chart below (the shaded area) together with the previous two ‘Stage 3’ trends in the last 5 years; one followed by a (long) Downtrend and the other by a further ‘Stage 2’ up leg -

The FTSE 100, weekly prices -

With the potential support at 5770 and 5720 there is some cause for optimism that this ‘Stage 3’ trend might not morph into a full blown ‘Stage 4’ Downtrend but rather return for a second leg Uptrend.

Another plus factor is that the rest of the UK market is continuing to move within a ‘Stage 2’ Uptrend with no signs (yet anyway) of swinging into a ‘Stage 3’ trend. It has to be observed though that the FTSE 250 index does have potentially strong resistance just above its present position in the form of its all-time-high price at 12236 -

The rest of the analysis, which includes the S&P 500 and the DJIA, is available on request to admin@sharehunter.com

The FTSE – Is It About to Tumble?

Published on June 5, 2011 in Education and Market Reviews. 0 Comments Tags: 6000, bank shares, Banks, Bear market, Bull market, CFD, CFDs, Footsie, FTSE, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, FTSE index, FTSE Sectors, FTSE100, Market bottom, market rally, market trend, Moving Average, rally, share prices, share tips, spread betting, stock market, stock market collapse, stock market crash, Stock Market indices, stock market recovery, stock market sectors, stock market trend, stock prices, trading in stocks.

The FTSE is still in the grip of the 5974/6055 area of resistance and is close to losing the support of its 30wk Moving Average.

It is not looking too promising. Much now depends on the coming week and whether or not the FTSE can pull itself back above, or at least to, the level of its 30wk Moving Average (which is currently at 5923) -

(Click on chart to enlarge it)

The signal being given by its fall below its 30wk MA – combined with the sideways move over the last 21 weeks (yes, it’s that long) – is that the index could be in process of a swing into a ‘Stage 3’ Distribution (or ‘Topping’) trend.

The significance of this is that a ‘Stage 3’ trend is usually a pre-curser to a swing into a ‘Stage 4’ Downtrend. Added to which the Triple Top formation can be clearly identified which, of itself, can lead to a steep, sometimes fast, decline.

A reminder of the 4 Stages in which the market moves -

So, the poor old FTSE is not promising much at all although there is time yet, just, for it to recover and rally back above its 30wk MA. There are occasions when a ‘Stage 3’ trend is followed by a return to a ‘Stage 2 Uptrend (although these are far fewer than a swing into a Downtrending ‘Stage 4’).

And there are some positive signs elsewhere that might have a beneficial influence on the FTSE and help it to recover or, at least, to avoid a collapse. These are detailed in the latest ‘FTSE Forecast’ Report which is available on request to admin@sharehunter.com

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